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Prediction markets

10 active markets · category “Fed”

How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting
October Meeting62%
September Meeting
September Meeting52%3 more
$1.57MVol. Oct 29fed
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

No change60%
25 bps increase25%3 more
$349KVol. Oct 28fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other
Other65%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause32%7 more
$544KVol. Oct 28fed
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet85%
Central Bank
Central Bank82%32 more
$70KVol. Jul 29fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other
Other54%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause39%7 more
$576KVol. Sep 16fed
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause83%
Other
Other18%7 more
$888KVol. Jul 29fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0 (0 bps)33%
2 (50 bps)31%4 more
$59KVol. Dec 31fed
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

0
27%YesNo
1
26%YesNo
$50KVol. Jul 29fed
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

9%

chance

YesNo
$5.1KVol. Dec 31fed
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

3%

chance

YesNo
$318KVol. Dec 31fed