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Prediction markets
18 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
99%
<400mm
1%
8 more
$41K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
9
59%
Yes
No
10
27%
Yes
No
$27K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
52 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
≤6
24%
Yes
No
7
14%
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$106
32 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
84%
1.25–1.29ºC
11%
4 more
$47K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
47 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
99%
40-50mm
1%
5 more
$10K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
94%
Yes
No
1
4%
Yes
No
$7.8K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
35 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
89%
1-1.5"
8%
5 more
$3.7K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
41 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
94%
2nd hottest
3%
2 more
$113K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
42 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
54%
August 30
52%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$47
37 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$122K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
42%
5-6"
41%
4 more
$33K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$59
48 trading now
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